Steven Sim

Words are more treacherous and powerful than we think - Jean-Paul Sartre

Barang Naik, Naik Lagi - Petrol Armageddon

Kit wrote: A Really Hefty Price Increase

Should be a “basi” (”gone bad”, i.e., outdated) news by now…I received an sms just slightly before 6pm from a friend in KL informing the increase and by 6.30pm, I’ve received calls from people frantically trying to verify the relatively extorbitant price they will be paying today compared to yesterday.

While I think I’ll let the old man Lah (that’s Pak Lah in Malay lah) slip this time for reducing federal government’s subsidy or increasing the price (whichever way you see it) of oil, I disagree with the implementation part.

Firstly, by increasing a crazy RM0.78 (~USD0.24) at one go, the federal government had pressed the ultimate panic button in many people. This morning’s paper reported chaos at petrol stations around the country due to vehicles queing up for a final fill of cheaper petrol (RM0.78 cheaper!). I did a quick check at two petrol stations near my house and it was jammed to the brink, in fact cars were lining up along the road outside the stations. One of my friends when called told me he was lining up for petrol. It’s like petrol armaggeddon. The sudden surge will create panic not only among the consumers but across the market as I am sure other providers of products and services will rush to raise their prices as well (the busses and lorries are already making statements of price increase in today’s news). Why can’t we do a staged increase up to the end of the year? I am sure it is better than giving us back RM625 at year end taxation - btw, I tak layak (not qualified) for the RM625, darn. Or is the federal government “making up” for the past few years of subsidizing all at a sudden go?

Secondly, I question the fact that our petrol price needed to be raised up to almost 41%. The Star today gave a table comparing prices in neighbouring countries, Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia and India. All the prices were higher than ours, except Indonesia which is almost RM0.70 cheaper. That we are comparing prices with non petroleum exporting countries, except of course Indonesia, is conspicuos, at least to most of us. I received a list of prices/litre of petrol in petroleum exporting countries around the world, and was shocked to find all of them kept petrol prices way below even our former RM1.97. I did a quick check on the internet and found that the data to be very likely reliable (read: trust at your own risk) except perhaps Nigeria where the price shown is probably outdated by 3 years.

So the question in my mind is, is the 41% increase justifiable? And UMNO goody two shoes Shahrir Samad said we are to expect a market level price by August. Singapore which has 5 times our per capita income and NO PETROLEUM pays less than twice the price of our petrol now. Darn, they’ve got good salary and cheaper petrol price and we’re stuck with low pay, higher petrol price and a bloody piece of ROCK off Johor somewhere . Old man Lah needs to do more than slap us in this sadistic way and just say, “We can’t satisfy everyone“. 

Thirdly, on the RM13.7 billion saved each year from reduction in oil subsidy and revenue from palm oil windfall tax, we have yet to see how this will actually help the Rakyat, especially the poor and lower income group - or even young executives like most of my friends who earn just slightly above average but were taxed like some rich taukehs (bosses). There were no substantial plans and proposal on the usage of the RM13 billion other than a few mentions of improving food price and policy. The RM650 tax rebate which was reported over the news as will be sent to tax payers via errr…money orders after they pay their road tax cannot be seen to help substantially to cushion the impact of the price increase to a majority of the Rakyat. Only those with vehicles below 2000 cc will be given the rebate. What about the majority of the lower income group which do not own a car but will be similarly affected by the hefty surge of petrol price especially in other consumer products and services?

And what will RM650 do to most people with a kancil or a proton iswara (most of which are again lower to lower middle income group). I estimated there will be an increase of at least an average of RM1000 a year for an 1.3 iswara traveling to and fro the Penang bridge at rush hour to work on weekdays and where public transport is helplessly dismal. That is excluding any extra travels for leisure and weekends. This means another RM100 or so forked out per month to feed the car or about 6-7% of average monthly income of a fresh graduate working in one of the factories in Penang (some people are earning only RM1500/month fresh from university). 

And fourthly, the petrol ban on foreigners have been lifted today. Sharir Samad said no worries, “Malaysians can ENJOY rebates which they will get WHEN renewing their road tax” (The Star 5-06-08, p N4). Dude, see above point three. That means Sharir Samad and the federal government have no concern for the majority of the Rakyat since their welfare was not in the government’s plan when annoucning the petrol price increase. And interestingly, who will benefit from the lift of the ban? My friend E always say, Harga minyak meningkat tidak membebankan Rakyat…Singapura (The increase of oil price does not burden the People of … Singapore). But I think joke aside, the petrol station operators will have a field time. The federal government obviously was siding the interest of petrol station operators more than anybody else with the lift of the ban. I mean, why can’t they (the operators) being Malaysians share the burden of the impact of world economy by sacrificing businesses from neigbouring countries? What happened to the angkat tolak masuk picit? Their operational cost can be reduced with the implementation of self service. Nowadays I see up to two attendants per pump at certain stations (and mostly foreign workers). Why are the business owners the ones getting more (unfair) perks in difficult times?

I’ll leave the serious economics to the expert - DSAI, Tony Phua, pls say something - I am contented to speak from the perspective and FOR the sake of women and men on the street. If the federal government can put a ban today and lift it almost without notice the next, I am sure they can still do something with their blunder of petrol price increase implementation.

I call on the Pakatan Rakyat State Governments and MPs to issue a protest against the federal Government’s careless policy and that the Pakatan Rakyat should immediately form a consultation to study and publish an alternative petrol policy.

I hope the Rakyat will also remain calm in times like this. If any groups wishes to organize peaceful protest, please do it errr…peacefully. But then again, it’s the petrol armageddon after all…

p/s:
Btw, the reason why I said I agree with the price increase is well articulated by people smarter than me in this area, here, though I believe a reasonable subsidy is not merely populist but also a necessary policy for national economy, especially for developing country like ours so that we can blanket a little the rising cost with the relatively slower increase of income.

 

 

4 Responses to “Barang Naik, Naik Lagi - Petrol Armageddon”

  1. I found your blog on google and read a few of your other posts. I just added you to my Google News Reader. Keep up the good work. Look forward to reading more from you in the future.

  2. Asmizar Bin Abu says:

    I’m writing this from a Singaporean point-of-view.

    Actually, if the bureaucrats are really serious about preventing foreign car owners like myself from enjoying petrol subsidies in JB, they could think of a much better plan to implement than just a blanket ban. The most clear-cut straight-forward solution would be to have two separate prices, subsidised and non-subsidised fuel. How can this be implemented? One probability is to have separate pumps for foreign vehicles until the computer whizzes can come up with a way to electronically ensure that foreign cars and domestic cars are being charged different rates after pumping.

    It is only natural that petrol kiosk stations in JB would want to protect their interests because for some stations, 80% of their customers are Singaporeans. There are lot of petrol stations along Jalan Tun Abdul Razak and Jalan Skudai and most of the patrons are Singapore cars. If Singapore cars are not allowed to pump petrol, these cars will not patronize the kiosks anymore and these stations could shut down. And if these stations were to shut down, the rippling effect would be massive, something which of course the Johor MB would arrogantly dismiss. The shutting down of many petrol stations will inevitably affect also other commercial interests within JB, like shopping malls and eateries. White elephants may even emerge out of this. Johorean businesses, at this point in time, realize that they are still dependent heavily on Singaporeans purchasing power and therefore when any measures restricting the ability of Singaporeans to come and spend in JB, these businesses would be up in arms, NOT SO because they are conspiring with Singaporeans and care only of the interests of Singaporeans, but more so because they are worried about their own bread-and-butter issue.

    Now when most Malaysians are worried about oil price hike, and the Pakatan Rakyat are starting to make noises about it, ain’t that a concern over bread-and-butter issue as well?

  3. Asminar,
    Thanks for your feedback, bread and butter yes, but the thing is the tension between a few business owners vs the public good. As I have mentioned, everyone need to share the burden of an economic situation, good or bad and business owners of all parties should be able to take a profit cut.

    I do not think a ban on petrol to foreigners will affect the Singaporean shoppers’ throng to Johor. An Sg car will only take at most upto RM30-RM40 worth of petrol (based on old price) per entry. I am sure petrol is not the only or MAIN reason why they are in Johor. But the total reduction of foreign consumption of local petrol will go along way in helping to reduce the net subsidy per Malaysian car.

    I do not accuse Sg of conspiracy, the statement about Singapura was meant to be a joke, but I do believe national spending should be in relative to national income, and especially tight times like this.

    Again I am speaking from non economist POV.

    I agree with your point on the inefficiency of blanket ban though…

  4. Jern Wong says:

    HI Sim, Found this at a local forum.. quite interesting..

    Quote

    “Come on people, its not subsidy that the gomen is taking a cut from la..

    think about it, a subsidy is when the gomen actually fork out some money to pay the petrol company so that these companies can offer us gas at a cheaper price..

    i’ve spoken to one person that worked for a US-based oil and gas company, which sells petrol in malaysia too, and he said “what BS is the gomen talking about, its not subsidy and we’ve never received a single cent from the gomen, the subsidy they talk about is actually the profit that their taking less! you think our gomen so stupid meh, we’ve been letting our petrol follow the market rate for quite some time albeit its abit offsetted but yes its the profit their taking less and not subsidy their giving”…”

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